Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Analysis

SPCE Stock  USD 2.55  0.05  2.00%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Virgin Galactic Holdings extending back to September 29, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Virgin Galactic stands at 2.55, as last reported on the 20th of February, with the highest price reaching 2.57 and the lowest price hitting 2.43 during the day.
IPO Date
28th of October 2019
200 Day MA
3.3985
50 Day MA
3.189
Beta
2.224
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Virgin Galactic Holdings holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.708. At present, Virgin Galactic's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 5.3 M, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 321.2 K. Virgin Galactic's financial risk is the risk to Virgin Galactic stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Virgin Galactic's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Virgin Galactic's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Virgin Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Virgin Galactic's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Virgin Galactic, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Virgin Galactic Holdings, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Virgin Galactic's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.8287
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(0.14)
Price Sales
110.0682
Shares Float
63.1 M
Wall Street Target Price
4.08
At present, Virgin Galactic's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 3.4 B, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is forecasted to decline to about 984.1 M. . The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.01, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 22.78.
Virgin Galactic Holdings is undervalued with Real Value of 3.2 and Target Price of 4.08. The main objective of Virgin Galactic stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Virgin Galactic Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Virgin Galactic's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Virgin Galactic stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Virgin Galactic's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Virgin Galactic Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Virgin Stock Analysis Notes

About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Virgin Galactic Holdings recorded a loss per share of 6.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 17th of June 2024. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight and flying commercial research and development payloads into space. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Virgin Orbit Holdings, Inc. Virgin Galactic operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 804 people. To find out more about Virgin Galactic Holdings contact Michael Colglazier at 949 774 7640 or learn more at https://www.virgingalactic.com.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Virgin Galactic's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Virgin Galactic Holdings or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Virgin Galactic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Virgin Galactic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (346.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.14 M).
Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (352.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Virgin Galactic has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Top Hydrogen Stocks To Watch Today - February 12th - MarketBeat

Virgin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Virgin Galactic's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-07
2024-03-31-0.29-0.250.0413 
2024-02-27
2023-12-31-0.3-0.260.0413 
2022-05-05
2022-03-31-0.32-0.36-0.0412 
View All Earnings Estimates

Virgin Galactic Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Virgin Galactic's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Virgin Galactic's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Virgin Galactic's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Virgin Galactic's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Virgin Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
238 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
229.5 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2025-06-30
220.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
159.7 K
Susquehanna Portfolio Strategies Llc2025-06-30
157.8 K
State Street Corp2025-06-30
147.8 K
Gmt Capital Corp2025-06-30
119.2 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2025-06-30
114.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
110 K
Limestone Investment Advisors Lp2025-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
1.8 M
Note, although Virgin Galactic's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Virgin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 182.82 M.

Virgin Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.41)(0.44)
Return On Capital Employed(0.53)(0.56)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.44)
Return On Equity(1.24)(1.30)

Management Efficiency

Virgin Galactic Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2049) % which means that it has lost $0.2049 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.9887) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Virgin Galactic's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Virgin Galactic manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of February 20, 2026, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.44. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.56. At present, Virgin Galactic's Debt To Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Net Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to about 471 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 14.85  14.11 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 14.85  14.11 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(1.10)(1.15)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.52  0.50 
Enterprise Value Multiple(1.10)(1.15)
Price Fair Value 0.52  0.50 
Enterprise Value3.2 B3.1 B
Virgin Galactic showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Operating Margin
(181.28)
Beta
2.224
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.99)

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of February, Virgin Galactic has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (1,718), and Variance of 23.07. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Virgin Galactic Holdings, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Virgin Galactic Holdings information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if Virgin Galactic is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 2.55 per share. Please also confirm Virgin Galactic Holdings jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.38) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Virgin Galactic for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Virgin Galactic Holdings short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Virgin Galactic insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Virgin Galactic's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Virgin Galactic insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Sarah Kim over a month ago
Disposition of 11853 shares by Sarah Kim of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Colglazier over three months ago
Disposition of 2273 shares by Michael Colglazier of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sarah Kim over three months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Sarah Kim of Virgin Galactic at 3.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Alistair Burns over three months ago
Acquisition by Alistair Burns of 20000 shares of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Colglazier over six months ago
Disposition of 241 shares by Michael Colglazier of Virgin Galactic at 5.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Aparna Chitale over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Aparna Chitale of Virgin Galactic at 3.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Aparna Chitale over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Aparna Chitale of Virgin Galactic at 3.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Aparna Chitale over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Aparna Chitale of Virgin Galactic at 3.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Colglazier over six months ago
Disposition of 1222 shares by Michael Colglazier of Virgin Galactic at 8.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sarah Kim over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Sarah Kim of Virgin Galactic at 3.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sarah Kim over six months ago
Acquisition by Sarah Kim of 11853 shares of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Aparna Chitale over six months ago
Acquisition by Aparna Chitale of 525 shares of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3

Virgin Galactic Outstanding Bonds

Virgin Galactic issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Virgin Galactic Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Virgin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Virgin Galactic Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Virgin Galactic Predictive Daily Indicators

Virgin Galactic intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Virgin Galactic stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Virgin Galactic Forecast Models

Virgin Galactic's time-series forecasting models are one of many Virgin Galactic's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Virgin Galactic's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Virgin Galactic Bond Ratings

Virgin Galactic Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Virgin Galactic have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Virgin Galactic's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
4
PoorView
Beneish M Score
(2.37)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Virgin Galactic Holdings Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Virgin Galactic, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds 420.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Virgin Galactic Holdings has a current ratio of 6.31, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Virgin Galactic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Virgin Galactic Total Assets Over Time

Virgin Galactic Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Virgin Galactic uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Virgin Galactic Debt Ratio

    
  41.0   
It looks as if about 59% of Virgin Galactic's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Virgin Galactic's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Virgin Galactic, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Virgin Galactic Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Virgin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Virgin Galactic Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Virgin Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

507.29 Million

At present, Virgin Galactic's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Virgin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Virgin Galactic prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Virgin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Virgin Galactic. By using and applying Virgin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Virgin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(44.34)(46.56)
Operating Profit Margin(48.18)(50.58)
Net Loss(44.35)(46.57)
Gross Profit Margin(13.56)(12.89)

Current Virgin Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Virgin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Virgin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
4.08Hold9Odds
Virgin Galactic Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Virgin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Virgin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Virgin Galactic Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Virgin conference calls.
Virgin Analyst Advice Details

Virgin Stock Analysis Indicators

Virgin Galactic Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Virgin Galactic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Virgin Galactic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Virgin Galactic stock analysis, traders can identify Virgin Galactic position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow253.6 M
Long Term Debt420.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M
Total Stockholder Equity322.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities175.7 M
Tax Provision74 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net209.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments563.2 M
Cash178.6 M
Accounts Payable3.7 M
Net Debt241.5 M
50 Day M A3.189
Total Current Liabilities150 M
Other Operating Expenses383.7 M
Non Current Assets Total333.3 M
Non Currrent Assets Other62.9 M
Stock Based Compensation29.8 M

Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis

When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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